This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$704.7K
LIQUIDITY
$704.7K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
classicoder 3h ago
we will see
pink.impala 18h ago
klayhamn the mean besserwisser n bully..
klayhamn 18h ago
a quick look at your betting history shows: 1. you don't wtf you're talking about 2. i live here so i know what opens up or what doesn't, you know jack shit. there was no meaningful change in any shelters. all public shelters are already open since the last war.
pink.impala 19h ago
klayhamn the fact-checker strikes again..
noland1 19h ago
most likely not, there 100% will be a war, but the timelines always get prolonged.
klayhamn 19h ago
actually no such thing happened
pink.impala 19h ago
Israelitards just opened up their bomb shelters, its happening!
Renan2030 20h ago
yes
MEPP 20h ago
is tomorrow the day?
MEPP 21h ago
nop
Quilty 23h ago
BREAKING: Israel believes Iran may be preparing a preemptive attack, after western intelligence detected ‘extreme military movements’ inside Iran – Israeli Channel 12
12beduins Oct 15
no its a good bet, tell aviv im impressed!
OnlyInGodWeTrust Oct 15
Where is your Yes shares then? Come on let me buy more cheap No
12beduins Oct 15
your really dumb IMHO
Quilty Oct 15
We got a lot to talk about BIG SHOW
classified Oct 14
solid
pink.impala Oct 14
imma only bet ET timezone!
pink.impala Oct 14
im not gonna bet when its iran standard time, im not gonna convert time man
OnlyInGodWeTrust Oct 14
you are not very smart 🤣
0x7ee93532cc731Fc911a238741Eb72151E15D7d37-1777907419395 Oct 14
So where is your bet
pink.impala Oct 14
Confirmed, Israel will strike Iran within 7 days. To postpone the election. [Could be any date, I think Oct 15 or Oct 25]
12beduins Oct 13
Bibis the most evil man in the world most likely!
GammaSqueeze1234 Oct 13
I think about MEPP sometimes. Mornings, mostly. Occasionally nights, or while crossing the street. People call MEPP the Da Vinci of the 21st century, which is fine, I suppose. The cultural influence is there if you care about that type of thing. I was walking along the river the other day and it occurred to me that MEPP got the price of a foldable phone wrong. Not a big deal. It’s a phone. It folds. Da Vinci never mispriced one, but nobody is keeping the score. Anyway.
MEPP Oct 13
nop
rozemoney02 Oct 12
Shit players tbh , they love to play with time
SaturnStormCube Oct 12
I think about MEPP sometimes. Mornings, mostly. Occasionally nights, or while crossing the street. People call MEPP the Da Vinci of the 21st century, which is fine, I suppose. The cultural influence is there if you care about that type of thing. I was walking along the river the other day and it occurred to me that MEPP got the price of a foldable phone wrong. Not a big deal. It’s a phone. It folds. Da Vinci never mispriced one, but nobody is keeping the score. Anyway.
KILLUMINAT1 Oct 11
💪
pilipro3 Oct 10
Wrong
classified Oct 10
probably nothing
filaretou Oct 10
Finish the job 🚀
iNeedMoreDollars Oct 10
Something might be cookng tonight ngl
pink.impala Oct 10
A senior Israeli official told Channel 12 that Israel will not launch a preemptive strike against Iran before the October 27 legislative election.
adasol Oct 3
Trump’s top security aides hold secret Camp David talks on Iran, Yemen — Axios US President Donald Trump’s top national security officials met secretly at Camp David to discuss next steps in the Iran war and the escalating conflict between Saudi Arabia and the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, Axios reported Friday, citing people familiar with the matter. Vice President JD Vance chaired the meeting at the presidential retreat, according to the report.
Glicha Oct 3
you can see that I actually started trading only 4 months ago. I did opened this account a year ago though but had no way to deposit money in it
Glicha Oct 3
if trump says, then he's about to sign another surrender deal soon
adasol Sep 30
and one more thing to settle about volume. Your account was created one year earlier than me, how come your volume is so low? afraid to lose money so you do not dare to trade frequently, right?
adasol Sep 30
losing 34 usd on a daily profit of 300 usd seems fine for me, but 34 usd seems to be a big deal for you. Btw, is my daily profit equals to 1/10 of your total profit from 2025, loser?
Glicha Sep 30
i dont think so. your volume is 48M$. anyway, in 1.5hrs it will resolve to YES so i suggest you to dispute
adasol Sep 30
we can look at the P&L of our accounts and we will know who is the real loser here ^^
Glicha Sep 30
bc u lose if u dont dispute
adasol Sep 30
you again, why do I have to dispute? :-"
Glicha Sep 30
dispute
adasol Sep 30
Trump says developments in Iran coming ‘very soon’ US President Donald Trump said Wednesday that developments in Iran would be seen “very soon,” while describing the US campaign against the country as a “total military victory.” “We have been there for six months. We lost 18 ... but they lost 4,500,” Trump said. “Very soon you’ll see things happening, very soon.”
RealRonnieTyler Sep 30
They said ignore'em. They said they'll only get excited and post more 💩 if u give them attention, but f it, I'll bite. What wasn't true about that statement? The f u on about u loon?
adasol Sep 26
Explosions are being heard in the city of Sirik on the coast of the Strait of Hormuz.
totalenergies Sep 24
Have to open up a beer for this one… speech is great
pink.impala Sep 24
Gods chosen gloaters and murderers
pink.impala Sep 24
If i was a ### i would be absolutely horrified that bibi is speaking in my name, thankfully im not a ### doe
pink.impala Sep 24
Benjamin Netanyahu: ‘On October 7th, Khamas monsters slaughtered Holocaust survivors. They burnt babies alive in front of their parents, beheaded our men, and raped our women.’
hyper-liquid-xyz Sep 23
Iran’s President Pezeshkian used his address to the UN General Assembly to reject restrictions on Iran’s civilian nuclear program and reiterate Tehran’s opposition to a US military presence in the Middle East. Netanyahu set to speak at the UN tomorrow.
