pickit

Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%

$2.0M Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Weather

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

8%

$350.6K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Weather

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

20%

$314.9K Vol.Ends Mar 1, 2027

Science

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

13%

$247.2K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Science

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

2%

$198.1K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Weather

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

$147.8K Vol.Ends Apr 1, 2027

Science

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

4%

$142.8K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 314%

September 300%

1 more

$136.0K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Science

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

33%

$123.6K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Weather

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$117.5K Vol.Ends Mar 1, 2027

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<561%

5-635%

6 more

$104.6K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

September 30100%

Successful splash down?100%

1 more

$64.4K Vol.Jul 1, 2027

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX64%

OpenAI0%

6 more

$64.0K Vol.Jan 2, 2027

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by...?

OOctober 1550%

OOctober 3150%

$41.7K Vol.Nov 1, 2026

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer18%

Hodge Conjecture32%

4 more

$36.6K Vol.Jan 1, 2028

Science

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

2%

$30.4K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Science

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

3%

$28.1K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

<9500%

950–9990%

6 more

$24.1K Vol.Jan 11, 2027

Weather

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

4%

$20.6K Vol.Ends Jan 8, 2027

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

December 31, 20265%

March 31, 202750%

$17.7K Vol.Apr 1, 2027

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

11-398%

44-62%

1 more

$17.0K Vol.Dec 1, 2026

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202624%

January 31, 202728%

3 more

$16.5K Vol.Jan 1, 2028

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

FFewer than 50%

550%

4 more

$14.6K Vol.Jul 1, 2027

Science

Plague case in US by December 31?

8%

$14.4K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SSpaceX76%

OOpenAI24%

$13.2K Vol.Jan 1, 2028

Science

Elon Bull Run Combo

5%

$12.6K Vol.Ends Jan 2, 2027

Science

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

2%

$12.3K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

December 31, 20263%

December 31, 202711%

$11.6K Vol.Jan 1, 2028

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

44100+100%

44200+100%

5 more

$9.1K Vol.Nov 1, 2026

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑4.5k100%

↑5k97%

6 more

$8.6K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

DDecember 31, 202625%

JJune 30, 202787%

$8.6K Vol.Jul 1, 2027

Science

Plague pandemic in 2026?

3%

$8.6K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

December 31, 20263%

December 31, 202713%

1 more

$8.2K Vol.Jan 1, 2029

How strong will Champi be?

Severe tropical storm or weaker2%

Strong3%

2 more

$7.8K Vol.Oct 30, 2026

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

1%

$6.9K Vol.Ends Feb 1, 2027

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

October 31, 20263%

December 31, 20269%

$5.9K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

178%

221%

4 more

$5.7K Vol.Mar 2, 2027

Precipitation in NYC in September?

<2"0%

2-3"0%

4 more

$4.8K Vol.Dec 8, 2026

How strong will Koguma be?

Strong0%

Very strong100%

1 more

$4.8K Vol.Oct 21, 2026

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

BBelow 3.00 ft3%

33.00 to 3.99 ft11%

3 more

$4.7K Vol.Dec 2, 2026

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

100-125mm0%

200-250mm0%

$3.9K Vol.Dec 8, 2026

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202616%

December 31, 202752%

$3.7K Vol.Jan 1, 2028

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

OOpenAI60%

AAnthropic41%

$3.7K Vol.Jan 1, 2028

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

BBelow 4,189.3 ft22%

44,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft78%

2 more

$3.6K Vol.Jan 2, 2027

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

October 31100%

December 31100%

$3.4K Vol.-

Science

New pandemic before 2028?

9%

$3.3K Vol.Ends Jan 1, 2028

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?66%

March 31, 202750%

$2.8K Vol.Jul 1, 2027

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

<1"0%

1-1.5"0%

5 more

$2.7K Vol.Dec 8, 2026