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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Geopolitics

Eventcmtla2fqx0nimmv019cnuhndy
Closes in

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.

24H VOLUME

$574.0K

LIQUIDITY

$574.0K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (50)

SIMOMEGA 35m ago

imagine not shutting up

SIMOMEGA 35m ago

will u ever shut the fuck up

SIMOMEGA 37m ago

?

siick 4h ago

WAR 🔥

wisechinaman 5h ago

🅿️

tsybka 7h ago

PEACE 🕊️

KariSpice 8h ago

Anyone know how adding new dates works and if there will be new dates for this event?

coinlaundry 12h ago

Bike

Car 12h ago

Peace

CryptoSeer-274 14h ago

looks like SlotinCap just admited his defeat :/

DonationsReceiver 19h ago

ok, i see the photo

DonationsReceiver 19h ago

photo please

MEPP 20h ago

the penthouse

EverythingAlwaysHappens Oct 15

fekkit

iForgor Oct 15

this is so detailed lmao

RekMyAds Oct 14

WHAT?

pink.impala Oct 14

Imagine writing essay bout yourself in the third person SMH

yungsoleimani Oct 14

Bro who is this😭😭😭

PerfectTaste Oct 14

this is brilliant

SaturnStormCube Oct 14

MEPP watched the Iranian foreign minister’s press conference on a Tuesday, on a laptop in his penthouse. The first subtitle read: “The nation of Iran remains committed to diplomatic pathways.” MEPP turned them off. He followed the remaining twenty-five minutes closely, in Farsi, which he does not speak, noting when the minister touched his glasses, when he paused, and a long stretch near the end when he seemed to smile at someone off camera. Muslim double speak, he concluded, not having understood a word. He took a folder labeled Iran from his desk drawer. It was the only folder. He checked what he had written the week before. It read Muslim double speak. So did the week before that. He went back through the summer, the spring, and most of last year. Every page said the same thing, underlined once in red ink. He took a clean sheet of paper, wrote down Muslim double speak, underlined it once in red, and filed it away. His understanding had never been better.

PashaAsOracul Oct 13

Death, obviously

conormurphy Oct 13

nopppp

MEPP Oct 13

tomorrow is a new day.

theta-thunberg Oct 13

mepps fourth floor penthouse six rungs up, says the sticker max one occupant

adasol Oct 13

Iran finalizing response to US views on proposal, deputy foreign minister says Iran was finalizing its response to US comments on a proposal Tehran submitted in New York, Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said on Tuesday. He said Iran had always welcomed diplomacy and had not held back from talks with any party. Gharibabadi also said Tehran was prepared for both war and diplomacy

pink.impala Oct 12

Sepah Navy (IRGC) Commander: Today, the US has turned into a oil smuggler. It has marshaled all its resources just to get four or five oil tankers through the Strait -exactly like a petty smuggler.

classified Oct 12

no so fast

MEPP Oct 12

one day well regret this day.

pink.impala Oct 12

RUSSIA IS OUR FRIEND THEY GIVE US DIESEL ⛽ 🤝

CryptoSeer-274 Oct 12

Yooo did the top NO holder on October 15 just get rid of his position?

Cal800 Oct 12

7

Risto Oct 11

Looks like Tsybka’s about to get zeroed out here)

Quilty Oct 11

Yestards sinking in Strait of Hormuz:

pink.impala Oct 11

Zelensky just horrible, never taking responsibility, always blaming others. SMH DOUBLE SMH!!

pink.impala Oct 11

Imagine singlehandedly making energy prices skyrocket AND THEN BLAMING AMERICA!!! SMH!!!

pink.impala Oct 11

Ukrainian President Zelensky: Everybody understands that because of the war in the Middle East, prices are rising. They're increasing because of the war in the Middle East, the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz.

Cal800 Oct 11

It's okay. You can't win them all. He made some good calls before but not this one. US will not give up their leverage until a proper agreement is confirmed and this takes longer than 5 days. He provided the liquidity which is appreciated.

Sellii Oct 11

Lmao what is this drama

yonips Oct 10

just sell bro why lose more money

yonips Oct 10

still overpriced

CryptoSeer-274 Oct 10

SlotinCap was wrong I guess

yungsoleimani Oct 10

u deserve to lose for trying to scam ur fans 247 mate, get a grip

wisechinaman Oct 10

Inshallah

pink.impala Oct 10

🐔 🔫

tsybka Oct 10

Not a single share will be sold. Victory or death.

tsybka Oct 10

fuck off

yungsoleimani Oct 10

tsybka just sell mate

krill810 Oct 10

Trading is all about ups and downs. No decision is ever perfect, and nobody gets every move right. Let SlotinCap trade his own plan. There's no need to prove anything to anyone.

0xA8248fc7dF59817eaf9Da1C81a910941aD1f40aE-1785400912453 Oct 10

Trading is all about ups and downs. No decision is ever perfect, and nobody gets every move right. Let SlotinCap trade his own plan. There's no need to prove anything to anyone.

wisechinaman Oct 10

“I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of peace,”

December 31

Potential payout$73.53