This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No." Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication. If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF PortWatch differs from alternative sources. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying except in the case of data integrity issues. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
24H VOLUME
$4.1K
LIQUIDITY
$4.1K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (43)
ragutwo Sep 3
just go to the link provided in the rules. put your mouse over those dates on the chart and you will see how many of each type of ship. Also, you can download the CSV and it will show per type of ship per day
StevAplaty Sep 3
Where are they shown on the sites chart?
ragutwo Sep 2
all those days have tankers
LEGENDARY101 Sep 2
Dont let them know yet
StevAplaty Sep 2
When you go on the Portwatch site there is 0 transits on the 15th, 16th, 25th and 27th of August. Am I missing something?
ragutwo Aug 27
Illegal to trade on kpler information? why would it ever be illegal to trade on information given on an subscription service? That's like claiming it's illegal to trade on WSJ information.
rabbit007 Aug 26
It is not and I was just trolling :D
lamyk Aug 26
you know thats illegal to trade on that info right
Natstar777 Aug 25
Does "Arrival of Ships" mean INCOMING only???
EmeraldEdge Aug 22
Barak Ravid is telling me to sell my Yes shares.
rabbit007 Aug 22
We have a Corporate Account fortunately :D <3
Raskell Aug 22
You paying 20k for Kpler? You deserve the win
rabbit007 Aug 21
Yeah, 1 ship passed :D
rabbit007 Aug 21
Kpler shows 0 transits for yesterday
hyper-liquid-xyz Aug 17
Reuters reports, citing ship tracking data from Kpler - 0 ships 8/16. Watch portwatch say that 1 ship passed!
Fridius Aug 4
Gotta be crazy to trade these Hormuz ship markets. Wild and wacky data that constantly changes.
Fridius Aug 4
Yeah. Same ol same ol.
lamyk Aug 4
bro... you have august shares.
DonationsReceiver Aug 4
what's changed now?
Goopster Aug 4
At this point we can say these markets that resolve on Portwatch data are impossible to trade as the data is constantly changing.
SickandTired Aug 4
Fair enough. I was wrong
0x21Dc9ab679Ca81EC036FedcfA22f1e353D849B43-1782560634321 Aug 4
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No."" August market was created July 29th
0x21Dc9ab679Ca81EC036FedcfA22f1e353D849B43-1782560634321 Aug 4
No.
LEGENDARY101 Aug 4
IMF Portwatch, Hormuz Traffic Chart. 23 July is 0 Traffic. Have a nice day!
LEGENDARY101 Aug 4
Check on IMF Portwatch for 23 July Hormuz Traffic
Talophex Aug 4
Y'all be wildin’ out in here, wow
SickandTired Aug 4
DISPUTE THIS ONE
Chicken14 Aug 4
Fake propose, some do it all the time. We faced 2 markets since 31/7
AXIOSinsider Aug 4
how can they scam?
Chicken14 Aug 4
Scam again?
malavuran Aug 4
if july31 wins, august31 wins too right?
NoSteinNoGate Jul 28
Wait, did it update already, its only until the 23rd July
Goopster Jul 28
Updates every Tuesday about 9am Eastern US time and covers the period up to about two days before the update.
AXIOSinsider Jul 27
ty bro i also love it since very begging even till now. gl!
ragutwo Jul 27
tomorrow they publish data on each day until Sunday, July 26th. btw good bet, it's not guaranteed but there is a good chance you win
AXIOSinsider Jul 27
Do they give stats on Tuesdays? Or why specifically tomorrow at this time?
ragutwo Jul 27
Tomorrow around 8 AM ET
AXIOSinsider Jul 27
The PortWatch data hasn't been updated since July 19th. Where will the data for calculating this market's results come from?
Onswaggie Jul 12
At 5 p.m. ET today, U.S. Central Command forces began launching more strikes against Iran to continue degrading their ability to attack civilian mariners and commercial ships freely transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The Commander in Chief has directed the strikes to hold Iranian forces accountable.
yungsoleimani Jul 8
you just a little kid man
BrightStars Jul 8
you misunderstand as always
yungsoleimani Jul 8
Sorry i dont make the rules i just collect the money
yungsoleimani Jul 8
Yopp
